New analysis by Learning and Work Institute shows Wales faces a post-pandemic jobs crisis with unemployment set to exceed the level seen during the last recession, and a particularly severe impact on young people.

It finds that 250,000 jobs in Wales are in ‘shutdown sectors’. These are the industries which have been most impacted by the measures to slow the spread of the virus, and where most businesses have been forced to reduce trading or close altogether. Nearly one in five jobs (18%) in Wales are in shutdown sectors.

If just one in four of these workers lost their jobs, unemployment could exceed the level seen at the last recession.

The analysis also reveals that young people, women and those with the lowest qualification levels are more likely to face losing their jobs as a result of the crisis.  It shows:

  • One in four of those with qualifications below level 3 are working in sectors of the economy that have been shut down, compared to one in ten of those with level 4 qualifications
  • Two in three of those aged between 16 and 19 (61%) and one in three (33%) of those aged 20 and 24 are at risk, higher than other age groups
  • 22% of women are working in shut down sectors, compared to just 15% of men.

11 August 2026

Delivering local work and health programmes: Top tips

These top tips share practical lessons on designing, delivering and evaluating local work and health programmes. They are designed for local and regional policy, delivery, data and evaluation teams, and senior decision makers.

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24 July 2026

Welsh Government: Skills Audit for Wales 

Learning and Work Institute Cymru has been commissioned by Welsh Government to undertake a Skills Audit for Wales to identify the skills needed now and in the coming years to support and grow the Welsh economy.   What is the Skills Audit for Wales?  The last formal skills audit in Wales took place in 2012 and since then the skills landscape has changed […]

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13 January 2026

Labour Market Evidence Programme

The Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) has commissioned the Institute for Employment Studies, in partnership with Learning and Work Institute, to deliver evidence reviews and practical resources on key labour market issues to help inform local policymakers.  

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26 November 2025

Final report: A Work, Health and Skills Plan for Wales

This research delivered by Learning and Work Institute (L&W), and funded by Serco, comes at a pivotal moment to inform a significant new era for employment support in Wales. The commitment from the UK Government to devolve non-Jobcentre Plus support is part of a broader strategy, outlined in the recently released Get Britain Working White Paper, which aims to streamline and enhance employment support mechanisms across the UK.

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26 November 2025

Bold new plan needed to help 60,000 more people into work in Wales and tackle economic inactivity.

Wales should set a bold ambition for at least three quarters of working-age people to be in work, closing the employment gap with the rest of the UK, argues a new report from Learning and Work Institute (L&W). The report finds this would boost the Welsh economy by £1.4 billion and save taxpayers up to £500 million per year.

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6 November 2025

A Work, Health, and Skills Plan for Wales

This research delivered by Learning and Work Institute, and funded by Serco, comes at a pivotal moment to inform a significant new era for employment support in Wales. The commitment from the UK Government to devolve non-Jobcentre Plus support is part of a broader strategy, outlined in the recently released Get Britain Working White Paper, which aims to streamline and enhance employment support mechanisms across the UK.

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21 October 2025

Delivering a more inclusive Welsh labour market

Employment support in Wales is changing, with the UK Labour Government committing to the devolution of all non-Jobcentre Plus employment support programmes. Learning and Work Institute (L&W) analysis indicates an estimated £47 million will be provided through devolution to deliver additional employment support in Wales. This is a key moment for Welsh Government to design and deliver employment support tailored to the needs of communities across the country.

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8 April 2025

Serco announces joint research project to boost the Welsh job market

Serco is spearheading a critical research initiative with the Learning and Work Institute aimed at delivering a more inclusive Welsh labour market. 

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29 November 2024

Can the Get Britain Working White Paper get Wales working?

The UK Government has released its long trailed Get Britain Working White Paper. The White Paper sets out significant reforms to the way employment support will operate across the UK, and in particular in England, with the aim of bringing health, work and skills together in a more locally responsive delivery model.  

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