The employment rate is estimated to be flat at 75.7% using a new approach that uses administrative data like the number of payrolled employees to adjust Labour Force Survey estimates affected by falling survey response rates. This is ahead of a new Labour Force Survey being rolled out in 2024.
The new estimates should be treated with caution but add to the picture from other data of a softening labour market, with vacancies dipping below one million for the first time since 2021. Meanwhile, last week's data showed earnings growing slightly faster than inflation but still £12,000 a year lower than if pre-financial crisis trends had continued.